As I write this, I’m on vacation, crossing the Baltic Sea, headed to Poland after a great visit to Sweden and Finland. Please excuse the much more brief edition of Housing Notes.
By Diego Delso, CC BY-SA 3.0, Link
Did you miss last week’s Housing Notes? April 28 – Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly Of Housing By The $41,824,850 Man to Get Happy
But I digress…
Housing Inflation As Part Of CPI Is Falling
Housing inflation in the CPI is expected to fall (although not as fast as you might have thought from last month's number). Here is @WhiteHouseCEA path consistent with lagged market rents. https://t.co/SVZc3aLg4Y pic.twitter.com/UCRxIrmxuH
— Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) April 27, 2023
Getting Graphic
My favorite charts of the week of our own making
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My favorite housing market/economic charts of the week made by others
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates above 5% for the first time since 2007. The quarter-point increase may be its last for now. https://t.co/lkL8i4JUR2
— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) May 3, 2023
Updated my plot of bank failures. 😬 https://t.co/atlFhzIMKY pic.twitter.com/tfPNNEUrjb
— Mike Bostock (@mbostock) May 2, 2023
The market is saying the Fed just raised rates for the last time in this rate-hiking cycle, and the next move will be a cut, and could come as soon as September. pic.twitter.com/gRdN4ta7Gd
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) May 3, 2023
Every failed bank that falls into hands of industry’s giants contributes to decades-long consolidation trend in banking sector; number of U.S. banks down drastically from peak in early-1980s when there were 14,469 U.S. commercial banks; by end of last year, it was down to 4,135… pic.twitter.com/Y4qAQL4lc3
— Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) May 2, 2023
america’s bank failures (adjusted for inflation) pic.twitter.com/bs00Qk7gZm
— ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) May 2, 2023
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate slips to 6.49%. pic.twitter.com/PCfwCgQ0YK
— Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) May 3, 2023
Apollo’s Torsten Slok‘s amazingly clear charts.
My favorite random charts of the week made by others
Current MLB players whose names contain at least half the letters of the alphabet pic.twitter.com/khE5hldPqX
— Jay Cuda (@JayCuda) May 3, 2023
Appraiserville
The Appraisal Profession Is Being Thrown Under The Bus
Hat tip to @sacappraiser
A friend is taking his broker's license renewal in California, and here's a question (practice test). I get the intent since the appraisal profession really is aging, but seems off. Maybe it's just me. My friend texted, "Damn, they're throwing you under the bus." Thoughts? pic.twitter.com/ftjyYq3rJZ
— Ryan Lundquist (@SacAppraiser) April 27, 2023
OFT (One Final Thought)
Brilliant Idea #1
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Brilliant Idea #2
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See you next week!
Jonathan J. Miller, CRE, Member of RAC
President/CEO
Miller Samuel Inc.
Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants
Matrix Blog
@jonathanmiller
Reads, Listens and Visuals I Enjoyed
- How to Make 800,000 New Homes Disappear [Curbed]
- The City Can Fix Its Rat Problem If It Loses 150,000 Parking Spots
- Who wins as Jamie Dimon squashes First Republic jumbo mortgage specialty?
- Myths about converting offices into housing—and what can really revitalize downtowns [Brookings]
- WSJ News Exclusive | The Priciest in Palm Beach: Oceanfront Home Fetches Around $170 Million in Record Sale [WSJ]
- New ‘Luxury’ Apartments Are Good, Actually [NY Magazine]
- New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March [Calculated Risk]
My New Content, Research and Mentions
- More Than 1 Million NYC Apartments May Face Up to 7% Rent Hikes [Bloomberg]
- Massive Water Mill estate listed for first time at $38.5M [The Real Deal]
- Prices for Homes in the Hamptons Are Higher Than Ever, With Average Topping $3 Million [NBC New York]
- Manhattan Real Estate Sales Tumble 38%, While Cash Deals Hit Record [ZeroHedge]
- Hamptons Luxury-Home Prices Soar On "Very Strong" Demand, Limited Inventory [ZeroHedge]
Recently Published Elliman Market Reports
- Elliman Report: San Diego County Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Orange County Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Malibu + Malibu Beach Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Los Angeles Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: North Fork Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Hamptons Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Long Island Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: St. Petersburg Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Miami Coastal Mainland Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Miami Beach + Barrier Islands Sales 1Q 2023 [Miller Samuel]
Appraisal Related Reads
- Sellers sitting out of the housing market & buyers getting concessions – Sacramento Appraisal Blog | Real Estate Appraiser
- How a Retrospective Appraisal Can Help In The Estate and Tax Planning Process • Birmingham Appraisal Blog