As the long weekend approaches, my work attitude is terrible so I need to share a bunch of clips this week:
his short film Sight imagines a world wearing contacts that augment reality. We’re almost there and I’m wondering if it is something to look forward to.
And if that’s too heavy for you as we head into the holiday weekend (NSFO):
@ivyandsophiesmith There's a fucking goat outside ##viral ##goat ##kidsswearing ##2yearold ##funny
And consider this addition to your Memorial Day Cookout via Brood X:
But I digress…
We’re finally arriving at Memorial Day weekend. Let’s make sure we honor the men and women who died while serving in the U.S. military.
But I digress again…
House Price To Rent Ratio At Highest Level Since At Least 1975
Using the income approach to valuation, housing prices as they relate to rent are at their highest level ever tracked and 1% above the housing bubble peak per the St. Louis Fed.
One key difference from the housing bubble era: homeowners today have greater home equity and less mortgage debt, on average.
I’ve tracked this ratio in Manhattan since 1991 and the 1Q21 rose to a new ratio record:
The income approach looks at the asset by how the economics are driving the value. The disparity between income and sales approaches to value might indicate that there is a greater value placed on occupancy than revenue potential and now, coming out of the COVID-lockdown the potential increase in that disparity could further be expanded.
Remember When Mortgages Rates Weren’t Unbelievably Low?
In 1981, a 30-yera fixed rate was nearly 17%. I’d love to get 14% rate on a CD in today’s economy. 😉
???? yields, Citibank NYC, June 1981https://t.co/hBoFmPY20C#banks @alice_fulwood #interestrates #FederalReserve @petercoy @calebsilver @LaurenYoung @bhgreeley @RichmondFed @jimstr8r #economy #TBT #NYC @GilmanHill #inflation @elerianm pic.twitter.com/hob6ZIvoVM
— Roben Farzad (@robenfarzad) May 27, 2021
Real Estate Professionals Tend To Marry Real Estate Professionals
Here’s a super cool look at who we marry. Flowing Data provided a look at Jobs that Marry Together the Most.
Real estate brokers tend to marry real estate brokers:
Getting Graphic
My favorite charts of the week made by others
Appraiserville
(For earlier appraisal industry commentary, visit my old clunky REIC site.)
Real Estate Appraisers Tend To Marry Real Estate Appraisers (And Teachers)
I spoke about this post: Jobs that Marry Together the Most earlier, but given my career as a real estate appraiser, I’m guilty as charged.
OFT (One Final Thought)
In light of Father’s Day arriving soon, this fantastic short film by Fahnon Bennett is absolutely worth your time. I’ve had the pleasure of working with him via Douglas Elliman for many years.
And one more final thought because, well, I need to:
Well, that's it for humanity. We've had a decent run but if bees have mastered the screw-top lid I think this is the beginning of the end. pic.twitter.com/XyHonJ2q73
— Michael Moran (@TheMichaelMoran) May 25, 2021
Brilliant Idea #1
If you need something rock solid in your life (particularly on Friday afternoons) and someone forwarded this to you, or you think you already subscribed, sign up here for these weekly Housing Notes. And be sure to share with a friend or colleague if you enjoy them because:
– They’ll eat more cicada tacos;
– You’ll be more augmented;
– And I’ll look for that f**king goat.
Brilliant Idea #2
You’re obviously full of insights and ideas as a reader of Housing Notes. I appreciate every email I receive and it helps me craft the next week’s Housing Note.
See you next week.
Jonathan J. Miller, CRP, CRE, Member of RAC
President/CEO
Miller Samuel Inc.
Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants
Matrix Blog
@jonathanmiller
Reads, Listens and Visuals I Enjoyed
- ‘Race for space’ fuels 10.9 % surge in UK house prices
- How to Navigate the 'Great Reset’
- The Market Tectonics of California Real Estate
- ‘Neighbor from hell’ faces new charges after scaring off potential home buyers
- Google gets the green light to build multi-billion dollar megacampus in San Jose [CNBC]
- Real estate bidding wars: Homebuyers increasingly willing to pay above asking price [Chicago Tribune]
- What happens when NY's eviction moratorium ends? [Crain's NY]
- Nearly 75% of Denver homes selling within 1 week, according to study [9 News]
- Fed mortgage securities purchases draw fire in white-hot US housing market [SP Global]
- State of the City 2020 [Furman Center]
- Home Truths: How HGTV, Magnolia, and Netflix Are Building a Massive Space in the Stream [Vanity Fair]
- With holiday weekend on tap, is Palm Beach real estate experiencing ‘a collective exhale’? [Palm Beach Daily News]
- House Prices Exceed Bubble Peak on Key Valuation [St Louis Fed]
- Selling to Buy a Bigger Home? It May Be Rough in This Hot Market [Wall Street Journal]
- What the White House Means When It Says Housing Is Infrastructure [Bloomberg]
- City Pulse Survey 2021 | Research & Insight [Gensler]
- The new American status symbol: A backyard that’s basically a fancy living room [Washington Post]
- 'FOMO Took Over.' Some Buyers Who Caved to a Hot Housing Market Now Regret It [Money]
- People are panic buying homes as prices skyrocket around the world [CNN]
- Value of UK house sales forecast to leap 46% this year as boom continues [The Guardian]
- Inside the Smallest Studio Apartment in New York City [Laughing Squid]
- America Has a Housing Mess, and President Biden Wants to Fix It [Bloomberg]
- In Tight Housing Market, Thousands of Homes Are Reserved for Certain Buyers [Wall Street Journal]
- No, Millennials Aren't Poorer Than Previous Generations [Of Dollars And Data]
- U.S. Home Prices Surge Most Since 2005, Fueled by Low Rates [Bloomberg]
- U.S. House Prices Rise 12.6 Percent over the Last Year; Up 3.5 Percent in the First Quarter [Federal Housing Finance Agency]
- Companies Ponder Speeding Up Plans to Bring Workers Back to Offices [Wall Street Journal]
- Biden’s Neighborhood Revitalization Plan Looks to Detroit for Inspiration [Wall Street Journal]
My New Content, Research and Mentions
- Hollywood Flocked to This Hotel in Its Heyday. Now, an L.A. Developer Bets Deep-Pocketed Buyers Will Too [Mansion Global]
- Bill Carmody Buys Miami Beach Penthouse, Relocates from NY [The Real Deal]
- Laps of luxury: Billionaire sells $10M Miami penthouse with rooftop pool [NY Post]
- City sells historic home for $3.96 million [Aspen Daily News]
- Younger New Yorkers Prop Up Lagging Rental Market [Wall Street Journal]
- Hamptons hero: Why this East End village is setting home sale records [NY Post]
- A ‘Perfect Storm’ Leaves Hamptons Restaurants Scrambling for Staff [Bloomberg Quint]
- A ‘Perfect Storm’ Leaves Hamptons Restaurants Scrambling for Staff [BNN Bloomberg]
- A ‘Perfect Storm’ Leaves Hamptons Restaurants Scrambling for Staff [Bloomberg]
- A Bright Spot for Small Businesses: Deals on Manhattan Rents [DNYUZ]
- A Bright Spot for Small Businesses: Deals on Manhattan Rents [NY Times]
- Old World mansion overlooks 16th hole of exclusive golf club [Sun Sentinel]
- Retailers Rush to Open in the Hamptons for Summer 2021 [The Real Deal]
- It Looks Like New York City Rents Have Bottomed Out [Curbed]
- Real-Estate Frenzy Overwhelms Small-Town America: ‘I Came Home Crying’ [Mansion Global]
Recently Published Elliman Market Reports
- Elliman Report: Manhattan, Brooklyn & Queens Rentals 4-2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: California New Signed Contracts 4-2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Florida New Signed Contracts 4-2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Colorado New Signed Contracts 4-2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: New York New Signed Contracts 4-2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Venice + Mar Vista Sales 1Q 2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Malibu + Malibu Beach Sales 1Q 2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Los Angeles Sales 1Q 2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: Long Island Sales 1Q 2021 [Miller Samuel]
- Elliman Report: North Fork Sales 1Q 2021 [Miller Samuel]
Appraisal Related Reads
- Race and the Property Valuation Industry
- Who Needs Appraiser’s When One Has Cash? [Cleveland Appraisal Blog]
- Perspective | The housing market is booming but remains deeply unequal [Washington Post]
- Texas appraiser: Racial bias is unacceptable [Valuation Review]
- Is The Entire Birmingham Real Estate Market Hot? [Tom Horn/Birmingham Appraisal Blog]
- A New Appraiser Discusses his Journey into the Industry [Appraisal Buzz]
- An open letter to home sellers in a crazy market [Ryan Lundquist/Sacramento Appraisal Blog]
Extra Curricular Reads
- Opinion | The Veterans Who Bury Their Own
- Where Did All the Yellow Cabs Go? [Curbed]
- One Man’s Amazing Journey to the Center of the Bowling Ball [Wired]
- What the Tulsa Race Massacre Destroyed [NY Times]
- Now on the Menu at DC-Area Restaurants: Brood X Cicadas [Washingtonian]
- Jobs that Marry Together the Most [Flowing Data]
- The Hidden New York Marble Cemetery, One of NYC's Oldest [Untapped New York]
- Just the Two of Us [Vulture]